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02/07/2008: "It May All Come Down To Puerto Rico by James Gambone"
February 6, 2008
It May All Come Down To Puerto Rico
To become the Democratic nominee for president, a candidate needs to capture 2,025 delegate votes. The outcome of the Obama- Clinton race for these delegates- including the “super delegates ”- could come down to who wins the last primary on Saturday June 7th in Puerto Rico. And unlike all the other primaries this year, Puerto Rico is a “winner take all” contest for 63 important delegates.
The campaigns are working the island hard. The Obama campaign is holding weekly meetings in cities across the island. And Hillary Clinton started her work in 2005, when she proposed a bill that would have provided some Puerto Rico residents with child-credit refunds on their Social Security and Medicare taxes. The bill – sponsored solely by Clinton – could pay out more than $50 million over the next 10 years. The New York Post reported at the time: "Puerto Rican support is crucial to her re-election – and a potential White House run in 2008. Puerto Ricans are born American citizens, ready-made voters when they move to the United States.”
It is also important to recognize that there is some interesting and relevant Democratic primary history in Puerto Rico. In 1988, Jesse Jackson beat Michael Dukasis 32-26% in a non-binding Presidential Primary. Over 300,000 voters participated. Jackson was, and is very popular on the island. Bill Clinton matched Jackson’s popularity in 92- and 96.
Michael Barone says in US New and World Report. (Wednesday, February 6, 2008.) the winner take all nature of this primary means, “that Puerto Rico is likely to have more leverage in Democratic National Convention votes than any single state, no matter how large. Its leader will be able to deliver a 63-vote margin for the leading candidate.”
Right now Obama and Clinton are even in the polls. Surprised?
James V. Gambone
Political Director
CW Television Station
Replies: 5237 Comments
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